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Match: Everton v Brentford
Kick Off: Sunday 15:00
Odds: 11/5
Two sides with growing European ambitions collide at Hill Dickinson Stadium, but this fixture profiles as another tight and low-margin affair. Everton arrive buoyed by a strong 2-0 away win at Nottingham Forest despite a depleted squad, yet historically they struggle badly in opening league fixtures of a calendar year, losing seven of their last eight.
Brentford sit just one point behind Everton, but their away form remains a serious concern. Only Wolves have lost more Premier League away games this season, and five consecutive away defeats in all competitions prior to their win at Wolves suggests inconsistency rather than momentum.
Key Stats That Stand Out
• Everton are averaging a club-record low 3.1 shots on target per league game
• Only 6 of Everton’s league matches featured over 2.5 goals
• Everton are unbeaten in the last 6 Premier League H2Hs (W3, D3)
• Only 1 of Brentford’s last 8 away games saw both teams score
• Brentford have scored a league-high 12 goals after the 75th minute
Verdict
Everton’s control without cutting edge and Brentford’s late-goal tendencies point toward a stalemate decided in the margins rather than dominance.
Match: Fulham v Liverpool
Kick Off: Sunday 15:00
Odds: 3/4
Fulham continue to grind out results, rescuing a point at Crystal Palace last time out, but history weighs heavily against them here. Marco Silva has lost all 11 of his Premier League meetings against reigning champions, while Fulham have lost 15 of their last 19 against such opposition.
Liverpool remain unbeaten in eight league games and have rediscovered their attacking fluency away from Anfield. Crucially, six of their last seven away league fixtures have produced over 2.5 goals, while the Reds have scored in each of their last 20 league games played in London.
Key Stats That Stand Out
• 6 of Liverpool’s last 7 away league games went over 2.5 goals
• Fulham scored exactly once in 5 of their last 6 matches
• Liverpool have scored in 20 straight league games in London
• Only 1 of Liverpool’s last 7 matches was won by 2+ goals
Verdict
Fulham tend to contribute without controlling games, while Liverpool’s away matches consistently open up. Goals look far more reliable than a result angle.
Match: Newcastle United v Crystal Palace
Kick Off: Sunday 15:00
Odds: 13/20
Newcastle’s league form has been uneven, but St James’ Park remains a fortress. The Magpies are unbeaten in their last ten competitive home matches and have opened the scoring in eight of their nine home league fixtures this season.
Crystal Palace continue to struggle for consistency and arrive winless in four league matches. Defensive issues resurfaced in their last away outing, and while Palace often start well, they’ve been comprehensively beaten on recent visits to Tyneside.
Key Stats That Stand Out
• Newcastle are unbeaten in 10 straight home matches
• Newcastle have scored exactly twice in their last 8 home games
• Newcastle have kept 4 straight home clean sheets vs Palace
• Palace’s last 8 away league games did not end level
Verdict
Strong home patterns, early Newcastle goals and Palace’s travel inconsistencies align well with a controlled home win.
Match: Real Sociedad v Atlético Madrid
Kick Off: Sunday 20:00
Odds: 19/20
Real Sociedad limp into 2026 dangerously close to the relegation zone after three losses and a late collapse against bottom-side Levante. Confidence at the Reale Arena is fragile, especially after back-to-back home defeats.
Atlético Madrid ended 2025 in strong form with four straight wins and remain remarkably difficult to destabilise. Diego Simeone’s side have not trailed at half-time in any league match this season and are unbeaten against bottom-half opposition.
Key Stats That Stand Out
• Atlético are unbeaten in their last 11 La Liga H2Hs with Sociedad
• Atlético have never trailed at half-time in the league this season
• 5 of Atlético’s last 6 matches went over 2.5 goals
• Sociedad are just two points above the relegation zone
Verdict
Atlético’s structure, momentum and dominant head-to-head record give them a clear edge against a Sociedad side lacking confidence.
