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Match: Algeria v DR Congo
Kick Off: Tuesday 16:00
Odds: 2.05
Algeria have quietly gone about their business at this AFCON, winning all three group matches and extending their unbeaten run inside 90 minutes to 19 games. The Greens have been disciplined, controlled and tactically sharp, and crucially, they have not conceded the opening goal in any of their last nine matches.
DR Congo progressed comfortably and carry recent AFCON pedigree, but history suggests tight margins here. Seven of their last eight games finished under 2.5 goals, and while they often score first, Algeria’s patience and tournament experience should prove decisive over 90 minutes.
Key Stats That Stand Out
• Algeria unbeaten in 19 matches inside 90 minutes
• Algeria have not conceded first in 9 straight games
• 7 of DR Congo’s last 8 matches went under 2.5 goals
• Algeria received fewer cards than their opponents in their last 4 matches
Verdict
Algeria may need to grind, but their control and consistency should see them edge through.
Match: Lecce v AS Roma
Kick Off: Tuesday 17:00
Odds: 1.80
Lecce remain firmly involved in the relegation scrap and continue to struggle in front of goal, scoring just 12 times this season, joint-worst in Serie A. While they’ve picked up results at home recently, they rarely trouble top-half opposition.
Roma arrive under pressure after losing four of their last six league matches, but all 11 of their Serie A wins this season have come against sides below them in the table. Their dominance in this fixture is overwhelming, with Lecce winning just one of the last 37 head-to-head meetings.
Key Stats That Stand Out
• Lecce have scored more than once in just 1 of their last 9 games
• Roma have won all league matches when scoring first this season
• Lecce conceded 8 of 11 home goals after half-time
• Roma unbeaten in 36 of last 37 H2Hs
Verdict
Roma’s record against struggling sides and overwhelming H2H dominance make the away win the strongest angle.
Match: Ivory Coast v Burkina Faso
Kick Off: Tuesday 19:00
Odds: 1.80
Ivory Coast topped their group but did so without convincing, relying heavily on second-half goals. Even so, tournament know-how continues to carry them through, having progressed from the group stage in 10 of the last 11 AFCON editions.
Burkina Faso are resilient and dangerous late on, but they rarely open games up. Goals at both ends have been scarce in matches involving either side, and Ivory Coast’s structure usually tells over time.
Key Stats That Stand Out
• 4 of Ivory Coast’s 5 AFCON goals came after half-time
• Ivory Coast scored more than once in just 4 of their last 14 matches
• Only 3 of Burkina Faso’s last 9 games saw both teams score
• Burkina Faso scored 3 goals after the 75th minute in the group stage
Verdict
Ivory Coast’s experience and ability to manage tight knockout ties gives them the edge in another controlled contest.
Match: Sassuolo v Juventus
Kick Off: Tuesday 19:45
Odds: 1.80
Sassuolo’s form has dipped sharply, with just one win in their last six home matches and defeats to nil in both home games against top-five sides. Their habit of conceding early at home could prove costly again here.
Juventus remain firmly in the top-four hunt and have won seven of their last nine matches. Their away performances have tightened considerably, winning their last two on the road without conceding and boasting an excellent Tuesday record.
Key Stats That Stand Out
• Juventus won 7 of their last 9 matches
• Juventus won 7 of their last 8 Tuesday Serie A games
• Sassuolo lost both home matches vs top-five sides to nil
• 7 of Juve’s 9 away league games finished under 2.5 goals
Verdict
Juventus’ structure and efficiency should overwhelm a Sassuolo side struggling for rhythm.
Match: West Ham United v Nottingham Forest
Kick Off: Tuesday 20:00
Odds: 1.70
This has all the ingredients of chaos. West Ham are winless in nine league games and have conceded two or more goals in eight of their last nine home fixtures. Forest arrive under pressure themselves, having lost four straight league matches.
Neither side inspires defensive confidence, and managerial pressure often leads to open, emotionally charged football rather than control.
Key Stats That Stand Out
• West Ham conceded 2+ goals in 8 of last 9 home games
• Forest scored exactly once in 4 of last 6 Tuesday league games
• Only 1 of Forest’s last 7 away games saw BTTS fail
• No draw in this fixture since 2003
Verdict
With both sides vulnerable and under pressure, goals at both ends looks the safest route.
