Burnley vs Chelsea – Extended Preview (12:30)

Burnley enter this fixture needing points, but the underlying numbers again highlight the same recurring issue: they concede too many high-quality chances. Kompany’s philosophy of building from the back and pressing high works well in the Championship, but in the Premier League it often exposes their defensive structure. Burnley’s back line struggles with timing when stepping out, leaving gaps that mobile, technically superior sides easily exploit. At home, Burnley have allowed opponents far too much space in Zone 14 and the channels — areas Chelsea’s forwards are well-suited to attack.

Chelsea, despite inconsistency, have been stronger away from Stamford Bridge. Their xG on the road is significantly higher, and there is a clear improvement in the speed of their transitions. With players like Palmer and Sterling drifting into pockets, Chelsea are increasingly effective at breaking low and mid-blocks. The question is purely finishing efficiency; the chance creation has been there. Against a Burnley team that tends to lose the ball in dangerous areas, Chelsea’s pressing structure should produce turnovers in advanced positions.

Set-pieces could also be decisive. Burnley have conceded multiple goals this season from second-phase situations, and Chelsea’s height advantage gives them a clear edge. Burnley’s best hope is direct play and using the crowd to generate momentum, but they often struggle to sustain pressure over 90 minutes.

This match leans towards Chelsea dominating territory and shot volume. Burnley will compete physically, but Chelsea’s technical advantage should show. Unless Chelsea waste multiple big chances, the away side have too much quality.

Best Betting Angles:
• Chelsea to Win
• Chelsea Over 1.5 Goals
• Burnley Under 1.5 Goals
• Chelsea -0.75 Asian Handicap

Bournemouth vs West Ham – Extended Preview (15:00)

Bournemouth’s improvement under Iraola is visible, particularly in how they press and build from the back, but the issues remain familiar: when their press is beaten, they are wide open. The full-backs push extremely high, their rest defence is often exposed, and they allow more counterattacking opportunities than most sides in the division.
Against West Ham, this is a dangerous combination.

Moyes’ side thrive against teams who commit bodies forward. West Ham are well-organised out of possession, compact between lines, and extremely efficient on the break. Their attacking transitions are among the most effective in the league. Bowen, Kudus and Paquetá operating into space left behind Bournemouth’s full-backs feels like the biggest mismatch in the fixture.

Bournemouth’s main advantage is their home support and their ability to overload the half-spaces when attacking. They can create chances if they sustain pressure, but they often struggle to convert this into goals due to poor decision-making in the final third. Their defensive set-piece weakness also plays into West Ham’s hands, with Zouma and Aguerd both major threats.

Expect Bournemouth to dominate possession for long spells, but that doesn’t mean they control the game. West Ham’s structure ensures that possession against them is often sterile. The London club are also stronger physically, which could be a key factor in midfield duels.

This matchup stylistically favours West Ham. Bournemouth will compete, but the visitors should create the higher-quality chances.

Best Betting Angles:
• West Ham Draw No Bet
• Over 2.5 Goals
• Both Teams to Score
• Bowen Anytime (Value)

Brighton vs Brentford – Extended Preview (15:00)

Brighton remain one of the league’s most entertaining yet unpredictable sides. Their build-up play is elite, they consistently generate high xG numbers, yet they concede plenty due to the risks inherent in De Zerbi’s system. High defensive line, inverted full-backs, and aggressive midfield movements all create vulnerability in transition. Against Brentford — a team built around structured defending and punishing mistakes — this will matter.

Brentford are exceptionally organised. They defend deep, compress the middle of the pitch, and rarely get dragged out of position. Their pressing is selective but intelligent. When opponents overplay at the back, Brentford jump aggressively and create immediate shooting opportunities. Brighton’s style gives them exactly that chance.

Adding to this, Brentford remain one of the best set-piece sides in Europe. Brighton concede a high proportion of goals from corners and free-kicks, and this gives Brentford a real route into the game, especially if Brighton dominate open play as expected.

On the other hand, Brighton should have spells where they pin Brentford back and create multiple chances. Brentford can be vulnerable to overloads on the flanks, and Brighton’s rotations in wide areas often stretch defences. With Ferguson, Adingra or João Pedro attacking the six-yard zone, Brighton’s attacking options remain strong.

This match promises flow and momentum swings, but goals feel the most reliable angle. Both teams should find scoring opportunities through their established methods: Brighton via possession and overloads, Brentford via transitions and set-pieces.

Best Betting Angles:
• Both Teams to Score
• Over 2.5 Goals
• Brighton Win & BTTS (bigger price)

Fulham vs Sunderland – Extended Preview (15:00)

Despite being in different divisions, this matchup offers an interesting tactical contrast. Fulham at home are powerful, structured, and far more physical than Sunderland. Marco Silva’s side rely heavily on territorial control, pressing high, and forcing opponents into mistakes. Against lower-league opposition, Fulham’s intensity is usually too much to handle.

Sunderland’s strength is ball progression, but their defence is fragile away from home. They concede too many shots from inside the box, and their set-piece defending lacks coordination. Fulham, meanwhile, are one of the most efficient sides in the Premier League at turning pressure into goals in these types of fixtures.

Fulham’s midfield superiority should also dictate the game. With Palhinha dominating duels and João Pedro or Iwobi linking play, Fulham should consistently break Sunderland’s lines. The Championship club will rely heavily on counter-attacks, but they lack the pace needed to exploit Fulham’s high line.

Sunderland’s best hope is to sit deep and try to frustrate Fulham, but maintaining that for 90 minutes at Craven Cottage is unlikely. Fulham’s set-piece strength, physicality, and quality in wide areas give them multiple scoring routes.

Expect Fulham to create far more chances and control the match in both halves.

Best Betting Angles:
• Fulham to Win
• Fulham Over 1.5 Goals
• Fulham -1 Handicap
• Under 3.5 Goals (safe option)

Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest – Extended Preview (15:00)

Liverpool at Anfield remain one of the most dominant sides in European football. Their pressing structure suffocates lower-level teams, and they consistently generate high shot volume. Forest, on the other hand, try to play on the break and rely on compact defending — but they allow too many shots inside the area to stay competitive here.

Liverpool’s midfield evolution gives them more control than previous seasons. They create overloads centrally and force opponents into narrow defending, opening space for their wide forwards. Forest struggle to defend cutbacks, which is exactly where Liverpool are most dangerous.

Forest’s best chance is counter-attacking through pace, but Liverpool’s recovery defence is strong. At Anfield, Forest often struggle to get out of their own half. Expect long spells where Forest defend in a low block, surviving wave after wave of pressure.

Liverpool should dominate territory, possession, and expected goals.

Best Betting Angles:
• Liverpool -1 Handicap
• Liverpool Over 2.5 Team Goals
• Over 3.5 Match Goals
• Salah Anytime (if fit)

Wolves vs Crystal Palace – Extended Preview (15:00)

Wolves at home remain competitive, disciplined, and tactically intelligent. Their transitions are good, but they lack consistent finishing. Palace are compact, defensive-minded, and often happy to turn the match into a tactical contest rather than an open game.

Both sides struggle to break down deep blocks, which often results in low shot counts and long spells of slow build-up. Palace rely almost entirely on individual moments from their wide players, while Wolves need space to counter — space Palace rarely give.

This match trends towards lower tempo and limited clear chances.

Best Betting Angles:
• Under 2.5 Goals
• Draw
• Correct Score 1–1

Newcastle vs Manchester City – Extended Preview (17:30)

Newcastle at St James’ Park are intense, physical, and extremely aggressive in their pressing structure. Against most teams this overwhelms the opposition, but Manchester City are built to exploit exactly this type of game.

City’s positional play, rotations, and patience allow them to pass through even the most structured press. When Newcastle push high, City often find space behind the midfield line, creating numerical superiority in dangerous areas. Newcastle’s injury issues and lack of depth also reduce their ability to maintain pressing intensity for a full 90 minutes.

City should control possession and create sustained pressure, with their midfield dictating the tempo. Newcastle will still create moments — especially from set-pieces and counters — but City produce higher-quality chances more consistently.

Best Betting Angles:
• Manchester City to Win
• Over 2.5 Goals
• BTTS
• City to Score in Both Halves