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Football Betting Tips 3rd January 2026

🔵 Leg 1 – Como to WIN

Match: Como v Udinese

Kick Off: Saturday 11:30

Odds: 7/10

Como return home looking to continue one of the strongest home runs in Serie A. They bounced back in style last weekend with a dominant 3-0 win over Lecce, keeping their sixth clean sheet in ten league matches. Defensively, only Roma have conceded fewer goals at this stage of the season, underlining how hard the Lariani are to break down.

Udinese arrive off the back of a late equaliser against Lazio, but their overall form remains patchy. Just two wins from their last seven league games has stalled their European push, while five defeats in their last seven away matches in all competitions highlights a clear weakness on the road.

Key Stats That Stand Out

• Como are unbeaten at home this season in all competitions

• Como are the only side yet to concede first in a home match

• Udinese have lost 5 of their last 7 away games

• Como scored 50 percent of their league goals after the 60th minute

Verdict

With elite defensive numbers and consistent late pressure at home, Como look well placed to edge another crucial win.


🟣 Leg 2 – Aston Villa to WIN

Match: Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest

Kick Off: Saturday 12:30

Odds: 4/5

Aston Villa suffered a harsh reality check against Arsenal midweek, but their overall form remains excellent. Ten straight home wins at Villa Park underline just how dominant Unai Emery’s side have become on their own turf, even if recent margins have been tight.

Forest’s early bounce under Sean Dyche has faded quickly. Three consecutive defeats have dragged them closer to the relegation battle, and their away record continues to be a concern, losing their last two road games without scoring.

Key Stats That Stand Out

• Aston Villa have won their last 10 home matches

• Villa are unbeaten in the last 9 home H2Hs with Forest

• Forest have conceded a league-high 12 goals after the 75th minute

• None of Forest’s last 6 away games saw both teams score

Verdict

Villa’s home dominance and Forest’s late-game collapses point towards another narrow but vital home win.


🔴 Leg 3 – Genoa to WIN

Match: Genoa v Pisa

Kick Off: Saturday 14:00

Odds: 9/10

Genoa are under pressure after three straight defeats, but this fixture represents a golden opportunity to reset. Despite recent losses, they remain unbeaten in four straight head-to-head meetings with Pisa, keeping three clean sheets in that run.

Pisa’s return to Serie A has been extremely difficult. One win all season and no away victories leaves them stuck near the bottom, while their tendency to concede late goals continues to undo otherwise competitive performances.

Key Stats That Stand Out

• Genoa are unbeaten in their last 4 H2Hs with Pisa

• Genoa’s last 8 goals were scored after the 30th minute

• Pisa have drawn more matches than any other side this season

• Pisa’s last 5 goals conceded all came after half-time

Verdict

With Pisa vulnerable late and Genoa desperate for points, the hosts should find a way through over 90 minutes.


🔵 Leg 4 – Brighton to WIN

Match: Brighton & Hove Albion v Burnley

Kick Off: Saturday 15:00

Odds: 9/20

Brighton’s six-game winless run doesn’t tell the full story. Three of those defeats came against elite opposition, and they return to the Amex where they’ve lost just once all league season. Their ability to dominate second halves has kept them competitive even when starting slowly.

Burnley’s situation is far more concerning. Ten matches without a win, combined with the worst away record in the league, makes this a daunting trip. Their lack of attacking threat is reflected in league-low shot numbers.

Key Stats That Stand Out

• Brighton have lost just once at home in the league

• Brighton scored 20 of their 28 goals after half-time

• Burnley are winless in 10 league matches

• Burnley have attempted the fewest shots in the league

Verdict

Brighton’s home strength and Burnley’s travel issues make this a clear spot for the Seagulls to get back to winning ways.


⚫ Leg 5 – Lille to WIN

Match: Lille v Rennes

Kick Off: Saturday 20:05

Odds: 17/20

Lille closed out 2025 in excellent form, winning four straight league matches and pushing firmly into the top four. Home form remains their biggest weapon, with five consecutive competitive wins at Stade Pierre-Mauroy and three clean sheets in their last four.

Rennes arrive in good overall shape, but away performances against stronger opposition have been less convincing. They have yet to beat any of the league’s top 13 away from home this season, conceding the majority of their goals after the break.

Key Stats That Stand Out

• Lille have won 8 of 9 league games when scoring first

• Lille are unbeaten in the last 12 H2Hs with Rennes

• Rennes conceded 12 of 16 away goals after half-time

• Lille are chasing a 6th straight home competitive win

Verdict

With strong home momentum and a dominant head-to-head record, Lille are well positioned to control this matchup and take all three points.

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